ATLAS fair value
NT$2,169
Above fair value · 11% premium
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Technology · Semiconductors · Taiwan Stock Exchange · Taiwan
Prices as of Oct 22, 2026 · TWD
NT$2,169
Above fair value · 11% premium
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's fair value at about NT$2,169 per share (reasonable range: NT$1,654 to NT$2,770). At NT$2,400, the stock trades 11% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between NT$2,282 and NT$2,534; in 9 out of 10, between NT$2,080 and NT$2,781. Estimated annual volatility is 30%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 2330.TW has traded between NT$1,375 and NT$2,590. Today it is 7.3% below that high and 75% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 49.9%; it trades at 24.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.24: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About NT$2,169 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: NT$1,654 to NT$2,770). With the stock at NT$2,400, it is 11% above it.
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 2330.TW ends the month between NT$2,282 and NT$2,534.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's market capitalization is NT$63.4T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 24.8: you pay NT$24.8 for each NT$1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 30%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between NT$2,282 and NT$2,534.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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