Shandong Chenming Paper (1812.HK)

Shandong Chenming Paper share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China

HK$0.475▼ -5.00%

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD

ATLAS fair value

HK$0.383

Above fair value · 24% premium

Range: HK$2.24–HK$7.21Fair valuePrice

Chance of rising in 1 month

49%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

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Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Shandong Chenming Paper

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.

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Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS estimates Shandong Chenming Paper's fair value at about HK$0.383 per share (reasonable range: HK$2.24 to HK$7.21). At HK$0.475, the stock trades 24% above it.

It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.

ATLAS's model gives Shandong Chenming Paper a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$0.439 and HK$0.512; in 9 out of 10, between HK$0.383 and HK$0.586. Estimated annual volatility is 39%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

Key numbers

52-week high: HK$1.34
52-week low: HK$0.450
Revenue (12 months): CN¥10.9B
Operating margin: -14.3%
Net margin: -47.7%
Beta: 0.18

What this means

These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Shandong Chenming Paper sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.

Over the last 52 weeks 1812.HK has traded between HK$0.450 and HK$1.34. Today it is 64.6% below that high and 6% above its low.

Its beta is 0.18: it tends to move less than the market.

About the company

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited engages in the pulp production and paper making in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Machine Paper, Financial Services, Hotels and Property Rentals, and Other.

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Plans from €3.99 a month.

Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What is Shandong Chenming Paper (1812.HK) fair value?

About HK$0.383 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$2.24 to HK$7.21). With the stock at HK$0.475, it is 24% above it.

What is the chance 1812.HK goes up next month?

49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 1812.HK ends the month between HK$0.439 and HK$0.512.

How volatile is 1812.HK?

ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 39%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$0.439 and HK$0.512.

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer