ATLAS fair value
HK$9.51
Below fair value · 37% discount
Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
HK$9.51
Below fair value · 37% discount
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest's fair value at about HK$9.51 per share (reasonable range: HK$5.65 to HK$16.02). At HK$5.99, the stock trades 37% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$5.49 and HK$6.48; in 9 out of 10, between HK$4.74 and HK$7.50. Estimated annual volatility is 45%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 1497.HK has traded between HK$4.84 and HK$8.03. Today it is 25.5% below that high and 24% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 10.2%; it trades at 10.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.04: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest Industry Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of edible bird's nest (EBN) products to distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail customers in the People's Republic of China.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About HK$9.51 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$5.65 to HK$16.02). With the stock at HK$5.99, it is 37% below it.
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 1497.HK ends the month between HK$5.49 and HK$6.48.
Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest's market capitalization is HK$2.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.6: you pay HK$10.6 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. 1497.HK's current dividend yield is 8.27% at today's price (HK$5.99).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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