ATLASATLAS fair value
HK$0.400
Above fair value · 9% premium
Range: HK$0.360–HK$0.440Fair valuePrice
CITIC Resources (1205.HK)
CITIC Resources share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
HK$0.435▼ -1.14%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on CITIC Resources in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On CITIC Resources
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates CITIC Resources's fair value at about HK$0.400 per share (reasonable range: HK$0.360 to HK$0.440). At HK$0.435, the stock trades 9% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives CITIC Resources a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$0.405 and HK$0.466; in 9 out of 10, between HK$0.358 and HK$0.527. Estimated annual volatility is 39%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- HK$3.8B
- Market cap (USD)
- $481M
- P/E ratio
- 12.0
- 52-week high
- HK$0.650
- 52-week low
- HK$0.370
- Revenue (12 months)
- HK$10.7B
- Gross margin
- 6.8%
- Operating margin
- 7.4%
- Net margin
- 2.9%
- Beta
- 0.53
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. CITIC Resources sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 1205.HK has traded between HK$0.370 and HK$0.650. Today it is 33.1% below that high and 18% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 2.9%; it trades at 12.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.53: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
CITIC Resources Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and coal in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Australia, Europe, other Asian countries, and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is CITIC Resources (1205.HK) fair value?
About HK$0.400 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$0.360 to HK$0.440). With the stock at HK$0.435, it is 9% above it.
What is the chance 1205.HK goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 1205.HK ends the month between HK$0.405 and HK$0.466.
How big is CITIC Resources and what is its P/E ratio?
CITIC Resources's market capitalization is HK$3.8B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.0: you pay HK$12.0 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is 1205.HK?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 39%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$0.405 and HK$0.466.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer