ATLAS fair value
HK$16.12
Above fair value · 181% premium
Semiconductor Manufacturing International share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Technology · Semiconductors · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
HK$16.12
Above fair value · 181% premium
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Semiconductor Manufacturing International's fair value at about HK$16.12 per share (reasonable range: HK$12.88 to HK$19.98). At HK$45.34, the stock trades 181% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Semiconductor Manufacturing International a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$41.48 and HK$49.14; in 9 out of 10, between HK$35.70 and HK$57.09. Estimated annual volatility is 45%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Semiconductor Manufacturing International sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 0981.HK has traded between HK$44.10 and HK$93.00. Today it is 51.3% below that high and 3% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 10.0%; it trades at 49.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.38: it tends to move less than the market.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, testing, and sale of integrated circuits wafer and various compound semiconductors in the United States, China, and Eurasia.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About HK$16.12 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$12.88 to HK$19.98). With the stock at HK$45.34, it is 181% above it.
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 0981.HK ends the month between HK$41.48 and HK$49.14.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International's market capitalization is HK$446B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 49.0: you pay HK$49.0 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 45%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$41.48 and HK$49.14.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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