ATLASATLAS fair value
HK$1.16
Close to fair value · 3% discount
Range: HK$1.04–HK$1.28Fair valuePrice
China Jinmao (0817.HK)
China Jinmao share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · Real Estate - Development · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
HK$1.12▼ -3.86%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on China Jinmao in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On China Jinmao
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates China Jinmao's fair value at about HK$1.16 per share (reasonable range: HK$1.04 to HK$1.28). At HK$1.12, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives China Jinmao a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$0.988 and HK$1.24; in 9 out of 10, between HK$0.808 and HK$1.52. Estimated annual volatility is 66%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- HK$16.2B
- Market cap (USD)
- $2.1B
- P/E ratio
- 40.0
- Dividend yield
- 2.14%
- 52-week high
- HK$2.04
- 52-week low
- HK$1.09
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥55.7B
- Gross margin
- 13.7%
- Operating margin
- 2.3%
- Net margin
- 1.9%
- Beta
- 0.98
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. China Jinmao sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 0817.HK has traded between HK$1.09 and HK$2.04. Today it is 45.1% below that high and 3% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 1.9%; it trades at 40.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.98: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited engages in residential and integrated property development in Mainland China. It operates through five segments: Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel Operations, Jinmao Services, and Others.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is China Jinmao (0817.HK) fair value?
About HK$1.16 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$1.04 to HK$1.28). With the stock at HK$1.12, it is close to that value.
What is the chance 0817.HK goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 0817.HK ends the month between HK$0.988 and HK$1.24.
How big is China Jinmao and what is its P/E ratio?
China Jinmao's market capitalization is HK$16.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 40.0: you pay HK$40.0 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does China Jinmao pay a dividend?
Yes. 0817.HK's current dividend yield is 2.14% at today's price (HK$1.12).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer