ATLAS fair value
HK$3.69
Below fair value · 37% discount
Tongguan Gold share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
HK$3.69
Below fair value · 37% discount
46%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Tongguan Gold's fair value at about HK$3.69 per share (reasonable range: HK$2.38 to HK$5.71). At HK$2.32, the stock trades 37% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Tongguan Gold a 46% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$2.01 and HK$2.58; in 9 out of 10, between HK$1.61 and HK$3.23. Estimated annual volatility is 76%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Tongguan Gold sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 0340.HK has traded between HK$1.66 and HK$4.14. Today it is 44.1% below that high and 39% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 34.3%; it trades at 12.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.06: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Tongguan Gold Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in gold mining operations in China.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About HK$3.69 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$2.38 to HK$5.71). With the stock at HK$2.32, it is 37% below it.
46%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 0340.HK ends the month between HK$2.01 and HK$2.58.
Tongguan Gold's market capitalization is HK$13.1B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.4: you pay HK$12.4 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. 0340.HK's current dividend yield is 1.26% at today's price (HK$2.32).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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