ATLAS fair value
HK$16.34
Close to fair value · 6% discount
Swire Pacific share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Conglomerates · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
HK$16.34
Close to fair value · 6% discount
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Swire Pacific's fair value at about HK$16.34 per share (reasonable range: HK$14.60 to HK$18.10). At HK$15.35, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Swire Pacific a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$14.74 and HK$16.09; in 9 out of 10, between HK$13.63 and HK$17.39. Estimated annual volatility is 26%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Swire Pacific sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 0087.HK has traded between HK$11.17 and HK$15.80. Today it is 2.9% below that high and 37% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 9.5%; it trades at 2.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.46: it tends to move less than the market.
Swire Pacific Limited engages in the property, aviation, beverages, marine, and trading and industrial businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Taiwan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. The company's Property division develops, owns, and operates mixed-use properties.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About HK$16.34 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$14.60 to HK$18.10). With the stock at HK$15.35, it is close to that value.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 0087.HK ends the month between HK$14.74 and HK$16.09.
Swire Pacific's market capitalization is HK$56.6B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 2.4: you pay HK$2.37 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 26%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$14.74 and HK$16.09.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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