ATLASATLAS fair value
HK$62.32
Below fair value · 56% discount
Range: HK$36–HK$110Fair valuePrice
Henderson Land (0012.HK)
Henderson Land share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
HK$27.64▼ -0.79%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Henderson Land in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Henderson Land
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Henderson Land's fair value at about HK$62.32 per share (reasonable range: HK$36.47 to HK$110.27). At HK$27.64, the stock trades 56% below it.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Henderson Land a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$26.34 and HK$29.13; in 9 out of 10, between HK$24.09 and HK$31.85. Estimated annual volatility is 30%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- HK$133B
- Market cap (USD)
- $16.9B
- P/E ratio
- 20.3
- Dividend yield
- 4.61%
- 52-week high
- HK$35.66
- 52-week low
- HK$24.58
- Revenue (12 months)
- HK$33.4B
- Gross margin
- 32.3%
- Operating margin
- 25.1%
- Net margin
- 20.5%
- Beta
- 1.11
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Henderson Land sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 0012.HK has traded between HK$24.58 and HK$35.66. Today it is 22.5% below that high and 12% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 20.5%; it trades at 20.3 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.11: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Henderson Land Development Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment activities in Hong Kong and Mainland China.
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Comparable companies
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Frequently asked questions
What is Henderson Land (0012.HK) fair value?
About HK$62.32 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$36.47 to HK$110.27). With the stock at HK$27.64, it is 56% below it.
What is the chance 0012.HK goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 0012.HK ends the month between HK$26.34 and HK$29.13.
How big is Henderson Land and what is its P/E ratio?
Henderson Land's market capitalization is HK$133B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 20.3: you pay HK$20.3 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Henderson Land pay a dividend?
Yes. 0012.HK's current dividend yield is 4.61% at today's price (HK$27.64).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer