ATLASStock fair value calculator: what is a share really worth?
ATLAS estimates the fair value of a stock from its cash flows and the valuations of comparable companies, and shows a reasonable range and a confidence level next to the price.
What it does
Fair value (also called intrinsic value) is an estimate of what a company is worth based on what it earns, not on what the market currently pays. Comparing it with the price gives a premium or a discount: how far the stock sits above or below its estimated value.
A single number would suggest false precision, so ATLAS shows a range and tags its confidence as low, medium or high. A wide range is information: it says the estimate is sensitive to assumptions.
Worked example with live data
Real ATLAS numbers, prices as of Oct 26, 2026.
Live example: ATLAS puts AAPL's fair value at about $209.45 (reasonable range $136 to $233), using a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples, with medium confidence. At $346.86, the stock trades 66% above fair value. The table shows the same reading for other well-known stocks, including ones priced below their estimate.
How ATLAS calculates it
The method depends on the data available. Where cash flows are reliable, ATLAS uses a discounted cash-flow model, which projects future free cash flow and discounts it to today. Where they are not, or as a cross-check, it uses valuation multiples of comparable companies. Often it blends the two. The stock's page says which one was used.
The premium or discount is the price divided by fair value minus one. Within 8% in either direction ATLAS calls the stock close to fair value.
Limits you should know
Fair value is an estimate that moves with the company's results and with discount-rate assumptions. A large gap can mean the stock is mispriced, or that the model misses a risk the market sees. Cheap stocks can stay cheap.
Where it sits in the plans
Every public stock page shows the headline fair value. The full fair value workspace in the app is part of ATLAS PRO.
Run it on your own numbers
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Frequently asked questions
What is the fair value of a stock?
It is an estimate of what the shares are worth based on the company's expected cash flows or comparable companies' valuations, as opposed to the current market price.
How do I calculate intrinsic value?
The standard method is a discounted cash-flow analysis: forecast free cash flow, choose a discount rate, and sum the present value. ATLAS automates this and cross-checks it with peer multiples.
Is a stock trading below fair value a buy?
Not automatically. The estimate can be wrong, and the market can stay below fair value for years. Use the gap as one input among several.
Why does ATLAS show a range?
Because the output is sensitive to assumptions. The range and the confidence level show how much to trust the single number.
Related tools
- Stock screenerThe ATLAS stock screener lets you filter US and international companies by valuation and by ATLAS's own probability, starting from ready-made ideas or from your own filters.
- Stock probabilityFor any stock, ATLAS estimates the probability that it closes higher in 21 trading sessions (about one month) and the range where it should land. Most answers sit close to a coin flip, and that is the honest result.
- ETF analysisAn ETF is a basket. ATLAS opens the basket and shows its size, cost, yield, returns, its top holdings and its sector and region mix, so you know what you own.
Stocks used in this example
Open any of them to see the full public page, with fair value, odds and a one-year chart:
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates come from statistical models and public data; they can be wrong and past results do not predict future ones. Disclaimer