ATLAS fair value
ARS 10,175
Below fair value · 21% discount
YPF S.A. D stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated · Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos · Argentina
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ARS
ARS 10,175
Below fair value · 21% discount
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates YPF S.A. D's fair value at about ARS 10,175 per share (reasonable range: ARS 9,158 to ARS 11,193). At ARS 8,030, the stock trades 21% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives YPF S.A. D a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ARS 7,525 and ARS 8,567; in 9 out of 10, between ARS 6,708 and ARS 9,611. Estimated annual volatility is 32%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. YPF S.A. D sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks YPFD.BA has traded between ARS 7,600 and ARS 87,225. Today it is 90.8% below that high and 6% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 4.0%; it trades at 31.7 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.11: it tends to move less than the market.
YPF Sociedad Anónima, an energy company, engages in the oil and gas upstream and downstream activities in South America and Argentina. The company operates through the Upstream, Midstream and Downstream, LNG and Integrated Gas, and New Energies segments.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ARS 10,175 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ARS 9,158 to ARS 11,193). With the stock at ARS 8,030, it is 21% below it.
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, YPFD.BA ends the month between ARS 7,525 and ARS 8,567.
YPF S.A. D's market capitalization is ARS 33.7T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 31.7: you pay ARS 31.7 for each ARS 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 32%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between ARS 7,525 and ARS 8,567.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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