ATLAS fair value
£6.29
Above fair value · 139% premium
United Utilities share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water · London Stock Exchange · United Kingdom
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · GBP
£6.29
Above fair value · 139% premium
54%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates United Utilities's fair value at about £6.29 per share (reasonable range: £3.72 to £10.53). At £15.06, the stock trades 139% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives United Utilities a 54% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between £14.63 and £15.64; in 9 out of 10, between £13.80 and £16.58. Estimated annual volatility is 18%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. United Utilities sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks UU.LSE has traded between £11.19 and £15.18. Today it is 0.8% below that high and 35% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 22.4%; it trades at 17.1 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.56: it tends to move less than the market.
United Utilities Group PLC provides water and wastewater services in the United Kingdom. It is also involved in the energy generation, corporate trustee, financing, and property management activities. The company operates approximately 122,000 kilometers of water and wastewater pipes.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About £6.29 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: £3.72 to £10.53). With the stock at £15.06, it is 139% above it.
54%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, UU.LSE ends the month between £14.63 and £15.64.
United Utilities's market capitalization is £11.0B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.1: you pay £17.1 for each £1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. UU.LSE's current dividend yield is 3.65% at today's price (£15.06).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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