ATLASATLAS fair value
ATLAS has no fair value for this stock today.
Shopify (SHOP)
Shopify stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Technology · Software - Application · NASDAQ
$166.16▼ -1.20%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · USD
Chance of rising in 1 month
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Shopify in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
See everything included
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
On Shopify
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS's model gives Shopify a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $151.01 and $180.81; in 9 out of 10, between $128.73 and $212.11. Estimated annual volatility is 47%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- $191B
- P/E ratio
- 99.0
- 52-week high
- $182.19
- 52-week low
- $94.00
- Revenue (12 months)
- $13.3B
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- +30.1%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- -39.5%
- Gross margin
- 48.1%
- Operating margin
- 16.3%
- Net margin
- 10.7%
- Return on equity
- 15.5%
- Free cash flow (12 months)
- $1.6B
- Beta
- 2.62
What this means
ATLAS does not publish a fair value for SHOP right now, but it does show its odds of rising: close to a coin flip.
Over the last 52 weeks SHOP has traded between $94.00 and $182.19. Today it is 8.8% below that high and 77% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 30.1% year over year; net margin is 10.7%; it trades at 99.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 2.62: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
Shopify Inc. is a Canadian commerce technology company that provides software and services for businesses to create, manage, and grow retail operations across online and offline channels.
Want to see everything about Shopify?
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What does Shopify do?
Shopify Inc. is a Canadian commerce technology company that provides software and services for businesses to create, manage, and grow retail operations across online and offline channels.
What is the chance SHOP goes up next month?
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, SHOP ends the month between $151.01 and $180.81.
How big is Shopify and what is its P/E ratio?
Shopify's market capitalization is $191B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 99.0: you pay $99.0 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is SHOP?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 47%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between $151.01 and $180.81.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer