MP Materials (MP)

MP Materials stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · NYSE

$39.77▲ +6.12%

Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · USD

ATLAS fair value

ATLAS has no fair value for this stock today.

Chance of rising in 1 month

48%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

This is just the summary. See everything on MP Materials in ATLAS

ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.

See everything included

Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.

On MP Materials

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.

Get started →

Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS's model gives MP Materials a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $35.95 and $43.41; in 9 out of 10, between $30.42 and $51.31. Estimated annual volatility is 51%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

Key numbers

Market cap: $8.4B
52-week high: $76.80
52-week low: $37.11
Revenue (12 months): $416M
Revenue growth (YoY): +10.1%
Gross margin: -25.7%
Operating margin: -64.6%
Net margin: -38.3%
Return on equity: -3.6%
Free cash flow (12 months): $-433M
Beta: 1.95

What this means

ATLAS does not publish a fair value for MP right now, but it does show its odds of rising: close to a coin flip.

Over the last 52 weeks MP has traded between $37.11 and $76.80. Today it is 48.2% below that high and 7% above its low.

On the business: revenue grew 10.1% year over year; net margin is 38.3%.

Its beta is 1.95: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.

About the company

MP Materials Corp. is an American rare earth materials company focused on mining, processing, and manufacturing products used in modern industrial supply chains. The company operates through two segments: Materials and Magnetics.

Want to see everything about MP Materials?

Get started →

Plans from €3.99 a month.

Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What does MP Materials do?

What is the chance MP goes up next month?

48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MP ends the month between $35.95 and $43.41.

How big is MP Materials and what is its P/E ratio?

MP Materials's market capitalization is $8.4B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.

How volatile is MP?

ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 51%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between $35.95 and $43.41.

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer