ATLASATLAS fair value
HUF 9,581
Below fair value · 48% discount
Range: HUF 6,487–HUF 14,150Fair valuePrice
MOL Nyrt. (MOL.BUD)
MOL Nyrt. stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Budapest Stock Exchange · Hungary
HUF 4,980▲ +0.97%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HUF
Chance of rising in 1 month
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On MOL Nyrt.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates MOL Nyrt.'s fair value at about HUF 9,581 per share (reasonable range: HUF 6,487 to HUF 14,150). At HUF 4,980, the stock trades 48% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives MOL Nyrt. a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HUF 4,789 and HUF 5,213; in 9 out of 10, between HUF 4,443 and HUF 5,619. Estimated annual volatility is 25%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- HUF 4.0T
- Market cap (USD)
- $12.1B
- P/E ratio
- 9.6
- 52-week high
- HUF 5,460
- 52-week low
- HUF 2,798
- Revenue (12 months)
- HUF 9.3T
- Gross margin
- 24.6%
- Operating margin
- 10.6%
- Net margin
- 4.2%
- Beta
- 0.11
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. MOL Nyrt. sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MOL.BUD has traded between HUF 2,798 and HUF 5,460. Today it is 8.8% below that high and 78% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 4.2%; it trades at 9.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.11: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated oil and gas company in Hungary and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is MOL Nyrt. (MOL.BUD) fair value?
About HUF 9,581 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HUF 6,487 to HUF 14,150). With the stock at HUF 4,980, it is 48% below it.
What is the chance MOL.BUD goes up next month?
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MOL.BUD ends the month between HUF 4,789 and HUF 5,213.
How big is MOL Nyrt. and what is its P/E ratio?
MOL Nyrt.'s market capitalization is HUF 4.0T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 9.6: you pay HUF 9.57 for each HUF 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is MOL.BUD?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 25%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HUF 4,789 and HUF 5,213.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer