ATLASATLAS fair value
$47.55
Above fair value · 51% premium
Range: $43–$52Fair valuePrice
Louisiana-Pacific (LPX)
Louisiana-Pacific stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment · NYSE
$72.03▼ -2.35%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · USD
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Louisiana-Pacific in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Louisiana-Pacific
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Louisiana-Pacific's fair value at about $47.55 per share (reasonable range: $42.80 to $52.31). At $72.03, the stock trades 51% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Louisiana-Pacific a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $68.09 and $76.38; in 9 out of 10, between $61.50 and $84.57. Estimated annual volatility is 31%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- $4.5B
- P/E ratio
- 83.6
- Dividend yield
- 1.64%
- 52-week high
- $100.34
- 52-week low
- $62.18
- Revenue (12 months)
- $2.5B
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- -7.9%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- -64.7%
- Gross margin
- 21.8%
- Operating margin
- 9.6%
- Net margin
- 5.4%
- Return on equity
- 3.1%
- Free cash flow (12 months)
- $-96.0M
- Beta
- 1.59
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Louisiana-Pacific sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks LPX has traded between $62.18 and $100.34. Today it is 28.2% below that high and 16% above its low.
On the business: revenue fell 7.9% year over year; net margin is 5.4%; it trades at 83.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.59: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation is a building materials company that supplies products for residential, repair and remodeling, industrial, and light commercial construction.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) fair value?
About $47.55 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $42.80 to $52.31). With the stock at $72.03, it is 51% above it.
What is the chance LPX goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, LPX ends the month between $68.09 and $76.38.
How big is Louisiana-Pacific and what is its P/E ratio?
Louisiana-Pacific's market capitalization is $4.5B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 83.6: you pay $83.6 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
Does Louisiana-Pacific pay a dividend?
Yes. LPX's current dividend yield is 1.64% at today's price ($72.03).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer