ATLASATLAS fair value
$6.79
Close to fair value · 7% discount
Range: $6–$8Fair valuePrice
Genius Sports (GENI)
Genius Sports stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · NYSE
$6.32▼ -3.07%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Genius Sports in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Genius Sports
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Genius Sports's fair value at about $6.79 per share (reasonable range: $5.62 to $8.33). At $6.32, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Genius Sports a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $5.57 and $6.99; in 9 out of 10, between $4.56 and $8.55. Estimated annual volatility is 66%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- $1.6B
- 52-week high
- $12.07
- 52-week low
- $3.83
- Revenue (12 months)
- $790M
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- +31.0%
- Gross margin
- 23.0%
- Operating margin
- -21.1%
- Net margin
- -16.7%
- Return on equity
- -25.9%
- Free cash flow (12 months)
- $161M
- Beta
- 1.88
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Genius Sports sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks GENI has traded between $3.83 and $12.07. Today it is 47.6% below that high and 65% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 31.0% year over year; net margin is 16.7%.
Its beta is 1.88: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Genius Sports (GENI) fair value?
About $6.79 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $5.62 to $8.33). With the stock at $6.32, it is close to that value.
What is the chance GENI goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, GENI ends the month between $5.57 and $6.99.
How big is Genius Sports and what is its P/E ratio?
Genius Sports's market capitalization is $1.6B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is GENI?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 66%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between $5.57 and $6.99.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer