ATLASATLAS fair value
$36.12
Above fair value · 34% premium
Range: $23–$56Fair valuePrice
Floor & Decor (FND)
Floor & Decor stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail · NYSE
$48.38▲ +2.11%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
Chance of rising in 1 month
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Floor & Decor in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Floor & Decor
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Floor & Decor's fair value at about $36.12 per share (reasonable range: $23.36 to $55.84). At $48.38, the stock trades 34% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Floor & Decor a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $44.92 and $51.94; in 9 out of 10, between $39.49 and $59.08. Estimated annual volatility is 41%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- $4.9B
- P/E ratio
- 21.0
- 52-week high
- $77.46
- 52-week low
- $42.64
- Revenue (12 months)
- $4.7B
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- +5.1%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- +1.1%
- Gross margin
- 43.6%
- Operating margin
- 5.8%
- Net margin
- 4.5%
- Return on equity
- 9.7%
- Free cash flow (12 months)
- $140M
- Beta
- 1.55
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Floor & Decor sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks FND has traded between $42.64 and $77.46. Today it is 37.5% below that high and 13% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 5.1% year over year; net margin is 4.5%; it trades at 21.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.55: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., a multi-channel specialty retailer focused on hard surface flooring and related accessories.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Floor & Decor (FND) fair value?
About $36.12 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $23.36 to $55.84). With the stock at $48.38, it is 34% above it.
What is the chance FND goes up next month?
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, FND ends the month between $44.92 and $51.94.
How big is Floor & Decor and what is its P/E ratio?
Floor & Decor's market capitalization is $4.9B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 21.0: you pay $21.0 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is FND?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 41%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between $44.92 and $51.94.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer