FirstGroup (FGP.LSE)

FirstGroup share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Industrials · Railroads · London Stock Exchange · United Kingdom

£2.20▲ +1.57%

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · GBP

ATLAS fair value

ATLAS has no fair value for this stock today.

Chance of rising in 1 month

53%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

This is just the summary. See everything on FirstGroup in ATLAS

ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.

  • Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
  • Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
  • Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
  • ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
  • AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
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  • Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
  • NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
  • Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
  • Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
  • Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.

On FirstGroup

  • Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
  • Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
  • Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
  • Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
  • NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

  • ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
  • AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
  • Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
  • Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
  • Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Get started →

Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS's model gives FirstGroup a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between £2.14 and £2.29; in 9 out of 10, between £2.01 and £2.43. Estimated annual volatility is 17%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

FirstGroup (FGP.LSE) — Price, last 12 months (weekly close)Oct 24, 2025: £2.11. Oct 27, 2026: £2.20. ▲£2.20£1.61Oct 24, 2025Oct 27, 2026

Key numbers

Market cap
£1.1B
Market cap (USD)
$1.4B
P/E ratio
10.4
Dividend yield
3.53%
52-week high
£2.21
52-week low
£1.52
Revenue (12 months)
£4.8B
Gross margin
55.1%
Operating margin
0.9%
Net margin
2.5%
Beta
0.68

What this means

ATLAS does not publish a fair value for FGP.LSE right now, but it does show its odds of rising: close to a coin flip.

Over the last 52 weeks FGP.LSE has traded between £1.52 and £2.21. Today it is 0.5% below that high and 45% above its low.

On the business: net margin is 2.5%; it trades at 10.4 times earnings.

Its beta is 0.68: it tends to move less than the market.

About the company

FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom. It operates through First Bus and First Rail segments. It operates a fleet of approximately 6,000 buses and coaches, as well as 320 trains. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

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Plans from €3.99 a month.

Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What does FirstGroup do?

FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom. It operates through First Bus and First Rail segments. It operates a fleet of approximately 6,000 buses and coaches, as well as 320 trains. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

What is the chance FGP.LSE goes up next month?

53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, FGP.LSE ends the month between £2.14 and £2.29.

How big is FirstGroup and what is its P/E ratio?

FirstGroup's market capitalization is £1.1B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.4: you pay £10.4 for each £1.00 of yearly earnings.

Does FirstGroup pay a dividend?

Yes. FGP.LSE's current dividend yield is 3.53% at today's price (£2.20).

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer

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