ATLAS fair value
$151.39
Below fair value · 18% discount
Dorman Products stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts · NASDAQ
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · USD
$151.39
Below fair value · 18% discount
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Dorman Products's fair value at about $151.39 per share (reasonable range: $100.22 to $181.07). At $124.74, the stock trades 18% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Dorman Products a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $119.04 and $131.35; in 9 out of 10, between $109.09 and $143.33. Estimated annual volatility is 27%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Dorman Products sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks DORM has traded between $98.45 and $158.29. Today it is 21.2% below that high and 27% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 6.0% year over year; net margin is 9.6%; it trades at 17.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.02: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Dorman Products, Inc. is a motor vehicle aftermarket supplier that designs, engineers, and distributes replacement and upgrade parts for cars, trucks, and specialty vehicles.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About $151.39 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $100.22 to $181.07). With the stock at $124.74, it is 18% below it.
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, DORM ends the month between $119.04 and $131.35.
Dorman Products's market capitalization is $3.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.0: you pay $17.0 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 27%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between $119.04 and $131.35.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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