ATLAS fair value
$29.67
Below fair value · 30% discount
DraftKings stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling · NASDAQ
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
$29.67
Below fair value · 30% discount
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates DraftKings's fair value at about $29.67 per share (reasonable range: $22.12 to $39.81). At $20.78, the stock trades 30% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives DraftKings a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $18.95 and $22.57; in 9 out of 10, between $16.23 and $26.35. Estimated annual volatility is 47%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. DraftKings sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks DKNG has traded between $18.35 and $36.98. Today it is 43.8% below that high and 13% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 27.0% year over year; net margin is 0.1%.
Its beta is 1.63: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
DraftKings Inc. Class A Common Stock represents the equity of DraftKings Inc., a digital sports entertainment and gaming company. DraftKings provides online and retail sports betting, iGaming, daily fantasy sports, and related gaming products for consumers in regulated markets.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About $29.67 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $22.12 to $39.81). With the stock at $20.78, it is 30% below it.
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, DKNG ends the month between $18.95 and $22.57.
DraftKings's market capitalization is $9.4B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 47%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between $18.95 and $22.57.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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