ATLASATLAS fair value
THB 34.00
Above fair value · 53% premium
Range: THB 29–THB 47Fair valuePrice
Carabao (CBG.BK)
Carabao stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · Stock Exchange of Thailand · Thailand
THB 52.00▲ +0.48%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · THB
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Carabao in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Carabao
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Carabao's fair value at about THB 34.00 per share (reasonable range: THB 28.54 to THB 46.65). At THB 52.00, the stock trades 53% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Carabao a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between THB 49.08 and THB 55.20; in 9 out of 10, between THB 44.22 and THB 61.26. Estimated annual volatility is 33%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- THB 51.2B
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.5B
- P/E ratio
- 24.5
- Dividend yield
- 1.18%
- 52-week high
- THB 59.25
- 52-week low
- THB 32.75
- Revenue (12 months)
- THB 20.6B
- Gross margin
- 28.1%
- Operating margin
- 16.3%
- Net margin
- 10.2%
- Beta
- 0.49
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Carabao sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks CBG.BK has traded between THB 32.75 and THB 59.25. Today it is 12.2% below that high and 59% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 10.2%; it trades at 24.5 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.49: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Carabao Group Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beverages in Thailand and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Carabao (CBG.BK) fair value?
About THB 34.00 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: THB 28.54 to THB 46.65). With the stock at THB 52.00, it is 53% above it.
What is the chance CBG.BK goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, CBG.BK ends the month between THB 49.08 and THB 55.20.
How big is Carabao and what is its P/E ratio?
Carabao's market capitalization is THB 51.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 24.5: you pay THB 24.5 for each THB 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Carabao pay a dividend?
Yes. CBG.BK's current dividend yield is 1.18% at today's price (THB 52.00).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer