ATLASATLAS fair value
£55.90
Below fair value · 37% discount
Range: £53–£91Fair valuePrice
The Berkeley (BKG.LSE)
The Berkeley share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · London Stock Exchange · United Kingdom
£35.36▲ +1.09%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · GBP
Chance of rising in 1 month
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on The Berkeley in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On The Berkeley
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates The Berkeley's fair value at about £55.90 per share (reasonable range: £52.97 to £91.14). At £35.36, the stock trades 37% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives The Berkeley a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between £33.99 and £37.03; in 9 out of 10, between £31.50 and £39.95. Estimated annual volatility is 25%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- £3.1B
- Market cap (USD)
- $4.2B
- P/E ratio
- 10.8
- 52-week high
- £44.42
- 52-week low
- £27.96
- Revenue (12 months)
- £2.4B
- Gross margin
- 25.1%
- Operating margin
- 16.8%
- Net margin
- 13.4%
- Beta
- 1.15
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. The Berkeley sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks BKG.LSE has traded between £27.96 and £44.42. Today it is 20.4% below that high and 26% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 13.4%; it trades at 10.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.15: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
The Berkeley Group Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, builds homes and neighbourhoods in the United Kingdom. The company engages in the residential-led mixed-use development and ancillary activities; commercial and land selling activities.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is The Berkeley (BKG.LSE) fair value?
About £55.90 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: £52.97 to £91.14). With the stock at £35.36, it is 37% below it.
What is the chance BKG.LSE goes up next month?
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, BKG.LSE ends the month between £33.99 and £37.03.
How big is The Berkeley and what is its P/E ratio?
The Berkeley's market capitalization is £3.1B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.8: you pay £10.8 for each £1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is BKG.LSE?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 25%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between £33.99 and £37.03.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer