ATLAS fair value
€1.16
Above fair value · 70% premium
Bike24 stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail · Xetra (Deutsche Börse) · Germany
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · EUR
€1.16
Above fair value · 70% premium
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Bike24's fair value at about €1.16 per share (reasonable range: €0.624 to €1.84). At €1.98, the stock trades 70% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Bike24 a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between €1.80 and €2.15; in 9 out of 10, between €1.54 and €2.51. Estimated annual volatility is 51%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Bike24 sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks BIKE.XETRA has traded between €1.93 and €3.64. Today it is 45.7% below that high and 2% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 0.6%; it trades at 50.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.99: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Bike24 Holding AG operates an online cycling platform in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, rest of Europe, and internationally. It offers classic bicycles, e-bikes, parts, and accessories, as well as clothing products. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Dresden, Germany.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About €1.16 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: €0.624 to €1.84). With the stock at €1.98, it is 70% above it.
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, BIKE.XETRA ends the month between €1.80 and €2.15.
Bike24's market capitalization is €102M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 50.8: you pay €50.8 for each €1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 51%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between €1.80 and €2.15.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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