ATLAS fair value
$131.68
Close to fair value · 7% premium
American Water Works stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water · NYSE
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
$131.68
Close to fair value · 7% premium
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates American Water Works's fair value at about $131.68 per share (reasonable range: $113.27 to $151.56). At $141.10, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives American Water Works a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $135.22 and $148.10; in 9 out of 10, between $124.73 and $160.55. Estimated annual volatility is 27%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. American Water Works sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks AWK has traded between $120.57 and $144.14. Today it is 2.1% below that high and 17% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 9.7% year over year; net margin is 21.6%; it trades at 22.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.58: it tends to move less than the market.
American Water Works Company, Inc. is a regulated water and wastewater utility company that provides essential drinking water, wastewater treatment, and related services across the United States.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About $131.68 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $113.27 to $151.56). With the stock at $141.10, it is close to that value.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, AWK ends the month between $135.22 and $148.10.
American Water Works's market capitalization is $25.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 22.8: you pay $22.8 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
Yes. AWK's current dividend yield is 2.44% at today's price ($141.10).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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