ATLAS fair value
$17.85
Below fair value · 11% discount
American Realty Investors stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · Real Estate Services · NYSE
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · USD
$17.85
Below fair value · 11% discount
46%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates American Realty Investors's fair value at about $17.85 per share (reasonable range: $16.07 to $19.64). At $15.89, the stock trades 11% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives American Realty Investors a 46% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $13.54 and $17.87; in 9 out of 10, between $10.58 and $22.86. Estimated annual volatility is 87%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. American Realty Investors sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ARL has traded between $12.42 and $24.44. Today it is 35.0% below that high and 28% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 5.7% year over year; net margin is 37.1%; it trades at 31.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.65: it tends to move less than the market.
American Realty Investors Inc. is a fully integrated real estate company that acquires, develops, owns, and manages multifamily and commercial properties in the Southern United States.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About $17.85 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $16.07 to $19.64). With the stock at $15.89, it is 11% below it.
46%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ARL ends the month between $13.54 and $17.87.
American Realty Investors's market capitalization is $259M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 31.0: you pay $31.0 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 87%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between $13.54 and $17.87.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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