ATLASATLAS fair value
CN¥2.28
Above fair value · 31% premium
Range: CN¥1.72–CN¥3.22Fair valuePrice
Xiamen XGMA Machinery (600815.SHG)
Xiamen XGMA Machinery stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · Shanghai Stock Exchange · China
CN¥2.98▼ -2.30%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CNY
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Xiamen XGMA Machinery in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On Xiamen XGMA Machinery
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Xiamen XGMA Machinery's fair value at about CN¥2.28 per share (reasonable range: CN¥1.72 to CN¥3.22). At CN¥2.98, the stock trades 31% above it.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Xiamen XGMA Machinery a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CN¥2.60 and CN¥3.32; in 9 out of 10, between CN¥2.09 and CN¥4.12. Estimated annual volatility is 76%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CN¥6.0B
- Market cap (USD)
- $894M
- 52-week high
- CN¥5.11
- 52-week low
- CN¥2.23
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥718M
- Gross margin
- 5.8%
- Operating margin
- -33.9%
- Net margin
- -17.8%
- Beta
- 0.03
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Xiamen XGMA Machinery sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 600815.SHG has traded between CN¥2.23 and CN¥5.11. Today it is 41.7% below that high and 34% above its low.
Its beta is 0.03: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Xiamen XGMA Machinery Company Limited research, develops, produces, and sells engineering machinery products and core components in China, Southeast and Central Asia, Eastern Europe, South America, the Middle East, and Africa.
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Comparable companies
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Frequently asked questions
What is Xiamen XGMA Machinery (600815.SHG) fair value?
About CN¥2.28 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CN¥1.72 to CN¥3.22). With the stock at CN¥2.98, it is 31% above it.
What is the chance 600815.SHG goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 600815.SHG ends the month between CN¥2.60 and CN¥3.32.
How big is Xiamen XGMA Machinery and what is its P/E ratio?
Xiamen XGMA Machinery's market capitalization is CN¥6.0B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is 600815.SHG?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 76%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CN¥2.60 and CN¥3.32.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer