ATLASATLAS fair value
CN¥1,381
Close to fair value · 2% discount
Range: CN¥1,027–CN¥1,858Fair valuePrice
Kweichow Moutai (600519.SHG)
Kweichow Moutai stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · Shanghai Stock Exchange · China
CN¥1,356▲ +0.44%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CNY
Chance of rising in 1 month
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Kweichow Moutai in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
See everything included
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
On Kweichow Moutai
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Kweichow Moutai's fair value at about CN¥1,381 per share (reasonable range: CN¥1,027 to CN¥1,858). At CN¥1,356, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Kweichow Moutai a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CN¥1,313 and CN¥1,411; in 9 out of 10, between CN¥1,232 and CN¥1,504. Estimated annual volatility is 20%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CN¥1.6T
- Market cap (USD)
- $246B
- P/E ratio
- 20.1
- Dividend yield
- 3.90%
- 52-week high
- CN¥1,568
- 52-week low
- CN¥1,151
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥170B
- Gross margin
- 90.3%
- Operating margin
- 62.3%
- Net margin
- 47.9%
- Beta
- 0.34
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Kweichow Moutai sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 600519.SHG has traded between CN¥1,151 and CN¥1,568. Today it is 13.5% below that high and 18% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 47.9%; it trades at 20.1 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.34: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells liquor products in China and internationally. The company offers liquor and soy sauce products under the Kweichow Moutai, Moutai Wangzi liquor, Moutai 1935 liquor, Han Jiang liquor, and Lai Mao liquor brands.
Want to see everything about Kweichow Moutai?
Get started →Plans from €3.99 a month.
Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Kweichow Moutai (600519.SHG) fair value?
About CN¥1,381 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CN¥1,027 to CN¥1,858). With the stock at CN¥1,356, it is close to that value.
What is the chance 600519.SHG goes up next month?
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 600519.SHG ends the month between CN¥1,313 and CN¥1,411.
How big is Kweichow Moutai and what is its P/E ratio?
Kweichow Moutai's market capitalization is CN¥1.6T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 20.1: you pay CN¥20.1 for each CN¥1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Kweichow Moutai pay a dividend?
Yes. 600519.SHG's current dividend yield is 3.90% at today's price (CN¥1,356).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer