ATLASATLAS fair value
CN¥3.53
Below fair value · 39% discount
Range: CN¥3.18–CN¥3.88Fair valuePrice
Gemdale (600383.SHG)
Gemdale stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · Real Estate - Development · Shanghai Stock Exchange · China
CN¥2.16▼ -4.00%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CNY
Chance of rising in 1 month
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Gemdale in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Gemdale
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Gemdale's fair value at about CN¥3.53 per share (reasonable range: CN¥3.18 to CN¥3.88). At CN¥2.16, the stock trades 39% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Gemdale a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CN¥1.99 and CN¥2.33; in 9 out of 10, between CN¥1.73 and CN¥2.68. Estimated annual volatility is 46%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CN¥10.3B
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.6B
- 52-week high
- CN¥4.02
- 52-week low
- CN¥2.03
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥32.7B
- Gross margin
- 2.3%
- Operating margin
- -27.1%
- Net margin
- -37.8%
- Beta
- 1.02
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Gemdale sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 600383.SHG has traded between CN¥2.03 and CN¥4.02. Today it is 46.3% below that high and 6% above its low.
Its beta is 1.02: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Gemdale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in China and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Gemdale (600383.SHG) fair value?
About CN¥3.53 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CN¥3.18 to CN¥3.88). With the stock at CN¥2.16, it is 39% below it.
What is the chance 600383.SHG goes up next month?
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 600383.SHG ends the month between CN¥1.99 and CN¥2.33.
How big is Gemdale and what is its P/E ratio?
Gemdale's market capitalization is CN¥10.3B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is 600383.SHG?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 46%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CN¥1.99 and CN¥2.33.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer