ATLASATLAS fair value
CN¥16.59
Close to fair value · 7% premium
Range: CN¥12–CN¥23Fair valuePrice
YTO Express (600233.SHG)
YTO Express stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics · Shanghai Stock Exchange · China
CN¥17.80▲ +1.95%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CNY
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on YTO Express in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On YTO Express
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates YTO Express's fair value at about CN¥16.59 per share (reasonable range: CN¥12.00 to CN¥22.69). At CN¥17.80, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives YTO Express a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CN¥16.82 and CN¥18.88; in 9 out of 10, between CN¥15.18 and CN¥20.92. Estimated annual volatility is 34%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CN¥60.2B
- Market cap (USD)
- $9.0B
- P/E ratio
- 10.7
- 52-week high
- CN¥22.86
- 52-week low
- CN¥14.90
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥78.3B
- Gross margin
- 11.2%
- Operating margin
- 10.2%
- Net margin
- 7.2%
- Beta
- 0.29
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. YTO Express sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 600233.SHG has traded between CN¥14.90 and CN¥22.86. Today it is 22.1% below that high and 19% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 7.2%; it trades at 10.7 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.29: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
YTO Express Group Co.,Ltd. provides express delivery services to franchisees in China and internationally. It operates through Express Business, Freight Forwarding Business, and Aviation Business segments.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is YTO Express (600233.SHG) fair value?
About CN¥16.59 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CN¥12.00 to CN¥22.69). With the stock at CN¥17.80, it is close to that value.
What is the chance 600233.SHG goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 600233.SHG ends the month between CN¥16.82 and CN¥18.88.
How big is YTO Express and what is its P/E ratio?
YTO Express's market capitalization is CN¥60.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.7: you pay CN¥10.7 for each CN¥1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is 600233.SHG?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 34%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CN¥16.82 and CN¥18.88.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer