ATLAS fair value
CN¥20.54
Above fair value · 11% premium
Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · Shanghai Stock Exchange · China
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CNY
CN¥20.54
Above fair value · 11% premium
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical's fair value at about CN¥20.54 per share (reasonable range: CN¥13.61 to CN¥24.92). At CN¥22.75, the stock trades 11% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CN¥21.76 and CN¥23.91; in 9 out of 10, between CN¥20.02 and CN¥26.00. Estimated annual volatility is 28%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 600196.SHG has traded between CN¥20.85 and CN¥29.68. Today it is 23.4% below that high and 9% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 8.0%; it trades at 17.9 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.38: it tends to move less than the market.
Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical business in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through five segments: Pharmaceuticals, Medical Devices and Medical Diagnosis, Medical Services, Medical Distribution and Retail, and Others.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About CN¥20.54 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CN¥13.61 to CN¥24.92). With the stock at CN¥22.75, it is 11% above it.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 600196.SHG ends the month between CN¥21.76 and CN¥23.91.
Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical's market capitalization is CN¥61.9B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.9: you pay CN¥17.9 for each CN¥1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. 600196.SHG's current dividend yield is 1.70% at today's price (CN¥22.75).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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