ATLAS fair value
CN¥5.17
Above fair value · 101% premium
Merchant Express Class A stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Infrastructure Operations · Shenzhen Stock Exchange · China
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CNY
CN¥5.17
Above fair value · 101% premium
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Merchant Express Class A's fair value at about CN¥5.17 per share (reasonable range: CN¥2.30 to CN¥11.52). At CN¥10.39, the stock trades 101% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Merchant Express Class A a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CN¥10.05 and CN¥10.83; in 9 out of 10, between CN¥9.40 and CN¥11.57. Estimated annual volatility is 20%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Merchant Express Class A sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 001965.SHE has traded between CN¥8.66 and CN¥10.71. Today it is 3.0% below that high and 20% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 31.7%; it trades at 15.6 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.09: it tends to move less than the market.
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. operates as a highway investment and operation service provider in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Investment Operation, Transportation Technology, Smart Transportation, and Traffic Ecology segments.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About CN¥5.17 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CN¥2.30 to CN¥11.52). With the stock at CN¥10.39, it is 101% above it.
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 001965.SHE ends the month between CN¥10.05 and CN¥10.83.
Merchant Express Class A's market capitalization is CN¥69.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.6: you pay CN¥15.6 for each CN¥1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. 001965.SHE's current dividend yield is 3.61% at today's price (CN¥10.39).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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