Know the odds
before you invest.
ATLAS runs 10,000+ simulations on any stock and gives you the probability of hitting your target — and the probability of losing money.
Search a stock to simulate
Then $19/month · Cancel anytime · Not financial advice
0.0%
Model accuracy
Long-term calibration
0+
Stocks tracked
Updated daily
0+
Paths per simulation
Monte Carlo
0 days
Free trial
Full access
How it works
Three steps. Real answers.
No black boxes. Every result traces back to a real computation.
01
Pick a stock & set your target
Search any stock. Set your target return (e.g. +20%) and your time horizon (1–90 days). That's all you need.
Any stock · 1–90 days · any target02
ATLAS runs 10,000+ futures
Real volatility. Real earnings proximity. Real momentum. Statistically grounded price paths — not guesses.
Each path = one plausible future03
You get probabilities, not predictions
Probability of hitting your target. Expected return. Probability of losing 5%, 10%, 20%, 50%. The full picture.
"38% chance of +20% in 30 days"Before you simulate
Understand the company first.
The simulation tells you the odds. First you need to know what you're betting on.
Full financial statements
Valuation framework
Business quality score
Real-time signals
Apple Inc.
AAPL · Technology · US
$227.50
Demo data
Intrinsic value
$122
−46%
Quality score
78/100
Strong
Free cash flow
$98.8B
Annual
Understand the business
Business model & revenue engine
Margins, ROIC & efficiency
Cash conversion quality
Balance sheet strength
Capital allocation discipline
Growth durability signals
Understand the price
Is it cheap or expensive?
Intrinsic value gap
Discount & terminal assumptions
Macro regime context
Volatility & beta exposure
Real-time news & sentiment
14-day trial · Full access
Real example
What a simulation looks like
Apple · +20% target · 30-day horizon
Stock
AAPL
Target
+20%
Horizon
30 days
Paths
10,000+
Expected return
+0.53%
Mean of all paths
Probability of +20%
0.9%
Less than 1 in 100 paths
Probability ≥5% loss
22.4%
About 1 in 5 paths
What this means in plain English
Expecting +20% from AAPL in 30 days? That happens in fewer than 1 in 100 simulated scenarios. Meanwhile there's a 1-in-5 chance of losing at least 5%. That's not a reason to not invest — it's a reason to invest knowing what you're taking on.
Track record
A model you can verify.
ATLAS keeps a public prediction archive. Every simulation is logged — you can see exactly how probability estimates compared to what actually happened.
We don't measure "did the stock go up?" We measure calibration: when we said 30%, did it happen ~30% of the time?
0.0%
calibration
accuracy
Across 2,000+ equities
AAPL — Market vs model value
Illustrative demo data
Pricing
Simple. One plan.
Everything included. No tiers, no feature locks.
$19
/month
after your free 14-day trial
Then $19/month · Cancel anytime
$19
per month
$0.63
per day
< 1%
of a $2k position
4 coffees
a month
If ATLAS helps you avoid a single 1% mistake on a $2,000 position, it pays for itself many times over.
FAQ
Common questions
Get started
Stop guessing.
Start knowing.
14 days free. Full access.
Then $19/month if you want to keep going.
Probabilistic estimates only · Not financial advice · Cancel anytime